Three primary factors go into my projections for the NBA draft:

All three of those factors have helped predict how well college and international players will perform in the NBA. Let's take a closer look at them.

The last five seasons: 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024

Projected performance

For college and international players alike, my projections start with translating what players have done before with what they will do in the NBA for 14 core statistics: 2-point percentage; 3-point percentage; free throw percentage; offensive and defensive rebound percentage; assists; steals and fouls per 100 team plays; blocks per 100 2-point attempts; percentage of individual plays devoted to 2-point, 3-point and free throw attempts; turnovers; and usage rate.

Some stats tend to decline once players enter the league more than others. For example, free throw percentage rarely changes much, but players shoot much worse percentages from the field. For college players, this process also adjusts for strength of schedule to put players who faced different levels of competition on a level playing field.

Utilizing multiple seasons of data yields better projections than looking solely at the most recent season. In fact, for college players I've found that earlier seasons tend to project NBA performance better than more recent seasons because older prospects no longer have the same experience advantage in the NBA. So the player's most recent season is weighted two times, the season before that (if available) three times, and two seasons before that five times. The weights are opposite for international prospects, who haven't demonstrated the same pattern because they are playing against older opponents.

The last factor in the projections is regressing performance to positional averages for NBA rookies (for college prospects) and replacement-level performance (for international players). This helps account for outliers, particularly for stats that tend to fluctuate, such as 3-point percentage. As a sophomore at Arizona, Derrick Williams shot 56.8 percent on 74 3-point attempts. Williams has made 29.9 percent of his 3s during his NBA career.

It doesn't make sense to regress a point guard to the same assist rate or block rate as a center, so this is the one place where positions affect my projections. This tends to have more impact for players who saw limited action in college or overseas than experienced players. It also can be problematic for versatile players, such as Ben Simmons, whose stat lines don't look like any one particular position.

WARP projections

The statistics-only version of my projections estimates the wins above replacement player (WARP) that a prospect will average during his first five seasons in the league, adjusted to favor immediate projection by discounting performance in future years.

Editor's Picks

To calculate this, I've used past players in my database -- which is largely complete back through the 2006 draft and includes a handful of players back through 2003 for whom per-play college stats are available -- to run a model projecting WARP based on the player's projected win percentage (the per-minute version of WARP, akin to PER) as a rookie and his age.

Because players tend to develop through around age 27, their age makes a large impact on their projections. All other things being equal, each additional year of age tends to reduce a player's projected NBA value by about 0.5 WARP per season.

Since 2018, the WARP projections have included a higher replacement level for centers and power forwards than perimeter players -- particularly wings. Note that this change has not been applied retroactively to past projections before 2018.

Consensus projections

Inspired by draft analyst Layne Vashro's Humble model (Vashro is now working for Kroenke Sports & Entertainment, the parent company of the Denver Nuggets), in 2015 I introduced consensus projections that also include the league's assessment of a prospect's talent. For past prospects, I measure this with where they were actually drafted. For current prospects, I estimate this using their rank in our top 100.

Using the actual draft slot plays a factor in subjective scouting analysis and improves projections, so I tend to use it as my primary ranking of players, while also showing the stats-only projections when possible.

Former projections

To give an idea of how my projections have worked -- and when they haven't -- here are the rankings for the 2006 through 2019 drafts, based on my current projection model:

2019 Draft Projections

PLAYER	PICK	WARP	RK	HUMBLE	RK
Zion Williamson	1	4.7	1	5.2	1
Ja Morant	2	2.5	5	3.3	2
Chuma Okeke	16	2.6	2	2.3	3
RJ Barrett	3	1.2	25	2.2	4
Sekou Doumbouya	15	2.2	6	2.1	5
Darius Garland	5	1.3	21	2.0	6
Jarrett Culver	6	1.3	20	1.9	7
Coby White	7	1.3	19	1.8	8
Cam Reddish	10	1.6	14	1.8	9
De'Andre Hunter	4	0.5	41	1.6	10
John Konchar	UD	2.6	3	1.6	11
Matisse Thybulle	20	1.7	11	1.5	12
Shamorie Ponds	UD	2.6	4	1.5	13
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	17	1.4	17	1.4	14
Jaxson Hayes	8	0.9	33	1.4	15
Brandon Clarke	21	1.5	15	1.4	16
Alen Smailagic	39	2.0	8	1.4	17
Bol Bol	44	2.0	7	1.3	18
Dylan Windler	26	1.6	13	1.3	19
Tyler Herro	13	0.9	29	1.2	20
Darius Bazley	23	1.3	18	1.2	21
Kevin Porter Jr.	30	1.5	16	1.1	22
Ty Jerome	24	1.3	24	1.1	23
Talen Horton-Tucker	46	1.8	9	1.1	24
Romeo Langford	14	0.7	34	1.1	25
Cameron Johnson	11	0.6	40	1.1	26
Chris Clemons	UD	1.7	10	1.0	27
Zach Norvell	UD	1.7	12	0.9	28
Grant Williams	22	0.9	31	0.9	29
Nassir Little	25	0.9	32	0.8	30
Goga Bitadze	18	0.5	42	0.7	31
Tremont Waters	51	1.3	23	0.7	32
Jordan Poole	28	0.7	35	0.7	33
Luka Samanic	19	0.4	48	0.7	34
Josh Reaves	UD	1.3	22	0.6	35
DaQuan Jeffries	UD	1.0	26	0.4	36
Dean Wade	UD	1.0	27	0.4	37
Jared Harper	UD	0.9	28	0.4	38
Rui Hachimura	9	-0.6	74	0.4	39
Terence Davis	UD	0.9	30	0.4	40
Carsen Edwards	33	0.4	46	0.4	41
P.J. Washington	12	-0.5	72	0.3	42
Kyle Guy	55	0.6	37	0.2	43
Juwan Morgan	UD	0.7	36	0.2	44
Garrison Mathews	UD	0.6	38	0.2	45
Caleb Martin	UD	0.6	39	0.1	46
Miye Oni	58	0.5	43	0.1	47
Keldon Johnson	28	-0.1	58	0.1	48
Bruno Fernando	34	0.0	56	0.1	49
Quinndary Weatherspoon	49	0.3	49	0.1	50
Louis King	UD	0.5	44	0.1	51
Jontay Porter	UD	0.4	45	0.0	52
Luguentz Dort	UD	0.4	47	0.0	53
Justin Wright-Foreman	53	0.2	53	0.0	54
Ky Bowman	UD	0.3	50	0.0	55
Justin Robinson	UD	0.3	51	-0.1	56
Brian Bowen	UD	0.3	52	-0.1	57
Jeremiah Martin	UD	0.2	54	-0.1	58
Cody Martin	36	-0.2	65	-0.1	59
Jaylen Nowell	43	-0.1	59	-0.2	60
Isaiah Roby	45	-0.1	60	-0.2	61
Rayjon Tucker	UD	0.1	55	-0.2	62
Jalen McDaniels	52	-0.2	63	-0.3	63
Moses Brown	UD	-0.1	57	-0.3	64
Nicolas Claxton	31	-0.6	78	-0.3	65
Ignas Brazdeikis	47	-0.3	69	-0.3	66
Max Strus	UD	-0.1	61	-0.3	67
Charlie Brown	UD	-0.2	62	-0.4	68
Justin James	40	-0.5	73	-0.4	69
Devontae Cacok	UD	-0.2	64	-0.4	70
Terance Mann	48	-0.4	71	-0.4	71
Naz Reid	UD	-0.2	66	-0.4	72
Jalen Lecque	UD	-0.3	67	-0.4	73
Donta Hall	UD	-0.3	68	-0.4	74
Mfiondu Kabengele	27	-0.9	82	-0.4	75
Admiral Schofield	42	-0.6	77	-0.5	76
Daniel Gafford	38	-0.7	79	-0.5	77
Adam Mokoka	UD	-0.4	70	-0.5	78
KZ Okpala	32	-0.9	83	-0.6	79
Amir Coffey	UD	-0.6	75	-0.7	80
Oshae Brissett	UD	-0.6	76	-0.7	81
Jordan Bone	57	-0.8	80	-0.8	82
Matt Mooney	UD	-0.8	81	-0.8	83
Vic Law	UD	-0.9	84	-0.9	84
Jaylen Hoard	56	-1.0	85	-0.9	85
Eric Paschall	41	-1.4	89	-1.0	86
Kenny Wooten	UD	-1.2	86	-1.1	87
Tariq Owens	UD	-1.4	87	-1.2	88
Robert Franks	UD	-1.4	88	-1.2	89
Marial Shayok	54	-1.5	90	-1.3	90
Tacko Fall	UD	-1.9	91	-1.6	91
Zylan Cheatham	UD	-2.0	92	-1.6	92
Marques Bolden	UD	-2.1	93	-1.7	93
Jarrell Brantley	50	-2.2	94	-1.7	94
Dewan Hernandez	59	-2.4	95	-1.9	95
Chris Silva	UD	-2.4	96	-1.9	96
Kyle Alexander	UD	-2.4	97	-1.9	97
Tyler Cook	UD	-2.6	98	-2.0	98

2018 Draft Projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Luka Doncic	3	6.1	1	5.6	1
Deandre Ayton	1	1.8	12	3.2	2
Trae Young	5	3.0	2	3.2	3
Jaren Jackson Jr.	4	2.3	6	2.8	4
Mikal Bridges	10	2.9	4	2.7	5
Michael Porter	14	2.5	5	2.3	6
Dzanan Musa	29	2.9	3	2.2	7
Mohamed Bamba	6	1.7	16	2.1	8
Marvin Bagley	2	0.7	41	2.0	9
Miles Bridges	12	1.9	11	1.9	10
Kevin Huerter	19	2.1	8	1.8	11
Jacob Evans	28	2.1	9	1.6	12
Mitchell Robinson	36	2.3	7	1.6	13
Landry Shamet	26	1.7	15	1.4	14
Zhaire Smith	16	1.3	21	1.4	15
De'Anthony Melton	46	2.0	10	1.3	16
Collin Sexton	8	0.7	38	1.3	17
Gary Trent Jr.	37	1.8	13	1.3	18
Wendell Carter	7	0.5	43	1.2	19
Donte DiVincenzo	17	1.1	26	1.2	20
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	11	0.7	36	1.2	21
Elie Okobo	31	1.5	19	1.2	22
Grayson Allen	21	1.2	23	1.2	23
Josh Okogie	20	1.2	24	1.1	24
Troy Brown	15	0.9	30	1.1	25
Kevin Knox	9	0.5	44	1.1	26
Jevon Carter	32	1.3	22	1.0	27
Lonnie Walker	18	0.8	31	1.0	28
Kenrich Williams	UD	1.8	14	1.0	29
Robert Williams	27	1.1	27	0.9	30
Kevin Hervey	57	1.6	17	0.9	31
Jaylen Adams	UD	1.5	18	0.8	32
Bonzie Colson	UD	1.5	20	0.8	33
Omari Spellman	30	0.8	32	0.7	34
Vince Edwards	52	1.2	25	0.6	35
Svi Mykhailiuk	47	1.1	28	0.6	36
Devonte' Graham	34	0.7	37	0.6	37
Khyri Thomas	38	0.8	34	0.5	38
Shake Milton	54	1.0	29	0.5	39
Jalen Brunson	33	0.6	42	0.5	40
Keita Bates-Diop	48	0.7	39	0.3	41
Rawle Alkins	UD	0.8	33	0.3	42
Daryl Macon	UD	0.7	35	0.3	43
Gary Clark	UD	0.7	40	0.2	44
Justin Jackson	43	0.3	48	0.1	45
Jerome Robinson	13	-0.7	68	0.1	46
Moritz Wagner	25	-0.3	59	0.0	47
Tyler Davis	UD	0.4	45	0.0	48
Melvin Frazier	35	0.0	53	0.0	49
Chandler Hutchison	22	-0.4	64	0.0	50
Duncan Robinson	UD	0.3	46	0.0	51
J.P. Macura	UD	0.3	47	-0.1	52
Chris Chiozza	UD	0.3	49	-0.1	53
Theo Pinson	UD	0.3	50	-0.1	54
Trevon Duval	UD	0.2	51	-0.1	55
Alize Johnson	50	0.1	52	-0.1	56
Jarred Vanderbilt	41	-0.2	57	-0.1	57
Aaron Holiday	23	-0.6	65	-0.1	58
Donte Grantham	UD	-0.1	54	-0.3	59
Ray Spalding	56	-0.1	56	-0.3	60
Brandon Goodwin	UD	-0.1	55	-0.3	61
Tony Carr	51	-0.3	60	-0.4	62
Brandon Sampson	UD	-0.2	58	-0.4	63
Marcus Derrickson	UD	-0.3	61	-0.5	64
B.J. Johnson	UD	-0.3	62	-0.5	65
Allonzo Trier	UD	-0.4	63	-0.5	66
Bruce Brown	42	-0.7	67	-0.5	67
Joe Chealey	UD	-0.6	66	-0.7	68
Yante Maten	UD	-0.8	69	-0.8	69
Hamidou Diallo	45	-1.0	70	-0.8	70
Devon Hall	53	-1.1	71	-1.0	71
Deng Adel	UD	-1.1	72	-1.0	72
Yuta Watanabe	UD	-1.2	73	-1.1	73
Chimezie Metu	49	-1.5	75	-1.2	74
Thomas Welsh	58	-1.4	74	-1.2	75
Cameron Reynolds	UD	-1.6	76	-1.4	76
Drew Eubanks	UD	-1.7	77	-1.4	77
Johnathan Williams	UD	-1.7	78	-1.4	78
Kostas Antetokounmpo	60	-2.0	79	-1.6	79
Jared Terrell	UD	-2.0	80	-1.6	80
George King	59	-2.0	81	-1.7	81
Angel Delgado	UD	-2.3	82	-1.9	82
Zach Lofton	UD	-3.1	83	-2.4	83

2017 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Lonzo Ball	2	3.6	1	4.1	1
Markelle Fultz	1	2.0	4	3.3	2
Jonathan Isaac	6	2.2	2	2.5	3
Dennis Smith Jr.	9	1.9	6	2.1	4
Zach Collins	10	1.9	5	2.0	5
Jayson Tatum	3	0.8	25	2.0	6
Lauri Markkanen	7	1.5	13	1.9	7
Josh Jackson	4	0.7	30	1.7	8
Frank Ntilikina	8	1.1	20	1.6	9
OG Anunoby	23	1.8	7	1.5	10
De'Aaron Fox	5	0.6	33	1.5	11
John Collins	19	1.5	12	1.4	12
Tony Bradley	28	1.7	9	1.4	13
Josh Hart	30	1.7	8	1.3	14
Justin Patton	16	1.1	18	1.3	15
Monte Morris	51	2.0	3	1.2	16
Donovan Mitchell	13	0.9	22	1.2	17
Luke Kennard	12	0.8	27	1.2	18
Malik Monk	11	0.7	28	1.2	19
Tyler Lydon	24	1.3	16	1.2	20
Isaiah Hartenstein	43	1.6	11	1.0	21
TJ Leaf	18	0.9	23	1.0	22
Aleksandar Vezenkov	57	1.6	10	0.9	23
Alec Peters	54	1.4	15	0.8	24
Jarrett Allen	22	0.7	31	0.8	25
Thomas Bryant	42	1.2	17	0.8	26
Derrick Walton Jr.	UD	1.4	14	0.7	27
Andzejs Pasecniks	25	0.7	29	0.7	28
Bam Adebayo	14	0.2	41	0.7	29
Ike Anigbogu	47	1.1	19	0.7	30
Harry Giles	20	0.4	36	0.6	31
D.J. Wilson	17	0.3	39	0.6	32
Frank Jackson	31	0.6	34	0.5	33
Jawun Evans	39	0.7	32	0.4	34
Caleb Swanigan	26	0.3	38	0.4	35
Derrick White	29	0.4	37	0.4	36
Chris Boucher	UD	1.0	21	0.4	37
Luke Kornet	UD	0.9	24	0.3	38
Alpha Kaba	60	0.8	26	0.3	39
Davon Reed	32	0.2	42	0.2	40
Ivan Rabb	35	0.3	40	0.2	41
Justin A. Jackson	15	-0.5	55	0.2	42
Mathias Lessort	50	0.4	35	0.2	43
Sterling Brown	46	0.1	44	0.0	44
Vlatko Cancar	49	0.1	43	0.0	45
Tyler Dorsey	41	0.0	48	-0.1	46
Damyean Dotson	44	0.0	46	-0.1	47
Jonah Bolden	36	-0.2	50	-0.1	48
Semi Ojeleye	37	-0.2	52	-0.1	49
Jordan Bell	38	-0.2	51	-0.1	50
Nigel Hayes	UD	0.0	45	-0.2	51
Terrance Ferguson	21	-0.8	66	-0.2	52
London Perrantes	UD	0.0	47	-0.3	53
Kyle Kuzma	27	-0.7	63	-0.3	54
Frank Mason III	34	-0.6	59	-0.3	55
Edmond Sumner	52	-0.3	53	-0.4	56
Charles Cooke	UD	-0.2	49	-0.4	57
Dillon Brooks	45	-0.5	54	-0.4	58
Sindarius Thornwell	48	-0.5	57	-0.5	59
Ben Moore	UD	-0.5	56	-0.6	60
Kobi Simmons	UD	-0.5	58	-0.6	61
Nigel Williams-Goss	55	-0.7	62	-0.7	62
Antonio Blakeney	UD	-0.6	60	-0.7	63
Jacob Wiley	UD	-0.7	61	-0.7	64
Naz Mitrou-Long	UD	-0.8	64	-0.8	65
Gian Clavell	UD	-0.8	65	-0.8	66
Devin Robinson	UD	-1.0	67	-0.9	67
Ognjen Jaramaz	58	-1.0	68	-1.0	68
Tyler Cavanaugh	UD	-1.2	69	-1.1	69
Johnathan Motley	UD	-1.2	70	-1.1	70
Dwayne Bacon	40	-1.5	74	-1.1	71
Jaron Blossomgame	59	-1.2	71	-1.1	72
PJ Dozier	UD	-1.3	72	-1.2	73
Milton Doyle	UD	-1.5	73	-1.3	74
Jabari Bird	56	-1.5	76	-1.3	75
Jamel Artis	UD	-1.5	75	-1.3	76
Xavier Rathan-Mayes	UD	-1.6	77	-1.4	77
Wesley Iwundu	33	-2.1	82	-1.4	78
Kadeem Allen	53	-1.8	78	-1.4	79
Antonius Cleveland	UD	-1.9	79	-1.6	80
Erik McCree	UD	-1.9	80	-1.6	81
Matt Williams	UD	-2.0	81	-1.6	82
Isaiah Hicks	UD	-2.2	83	-1.8	83
Rodney Purvis	UD	-2.4	84	-1.9	84
Mangok Mathiang	UD	-2.4	85	-1.9	85

2016 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Ben Simmons	1	2.4	6	3.6	1
Dragan Bender	4	3.4	2	3.6	2
Brandon Ingram	2	1.9	11	2.9	3
Jakob Poeltl	9	2.4	5	2.5	4
Zhou Qi	43	3.5	1	2.3	5
Juan Hernangomez	15	2.6	4	2.3	6
Kris Dunn	5	1.5	18	2.1	7
Jamal Murray	7	1.7	14	2.1	8
Buddy Hield	6	1.2	27	1.9	9
Ante Zizic	23	2.3	7	1.8	10
Wade Baldwin	17	1.9	12	1.8	11
Fred VanVleet	UD	2.8	3	1.7	12
Marquese Chriss	8	1.1	31	1.6	13
Denzel Valentine	14	1.5	19	1.6	14
Ivica Zubac	32	2.1	8	1.6	15
Domantas Sabonis	11	1.2	30	1.5	16
Tyler Ulis	34	1.9	13	1.4	17
Henry Ellenson	18	1.4	22	1.4	18
Guerschon Yabusele	16	1.3	23	1.4	19
Patrick McCaw	38	1.9	10	1.3	20
Gary Payton II	UD	2.1	9	1.2	21
Furkan Korkmaz	26	1.4	21	1.2	22
Caris LeVert	20	1.2	28	1.2	23
Diamond Stone	40	1.7	16	1.1	24
Chinanu Onuaku	37	1.6	17	1.1	25
Deyonta Davis	31	1.4	20	1.1	26
Brice Johnson	25	1.2	29	1.0	27
Jaylen Brown	3	-0.5	68	1.0	28
Cheick Diallo	33	1.3	26	1.0	29
Ron Baker	UD	1.7	15	0.9	30
Malik Beasley	19	0.8	37	0.9	31
Stephen Zimmerman	41	1.3	24	0.9	32
Taurean Prince	12	0.3	44	0.9	33
Marcus Paige	55	1.3	25	0.7	34
Kay Felder	54	1.0	36	0.5	35
Derrick Jones	UD	1.1	32	0.5	36
Shawn Long	UD	1.1	33	0.5	37
Daniel Ochefu	UD	1.1	34	0.5	38
Skal Labissiere	28	0.4	41	0.5	39
Jarrod Uthoff	UD	1.0	35	0.5	40
Pascal Siakam	27	0.4	42	0.5	41
Malachi Richardson	22	0.2	49	0.4	42
Isaiah Whitehead	42	0.6	40	0.3	43
Dejounte Murray	29	0.3	46	0.3	44
Petr Cornelie	53	0.7	38	0.3	45
DeAndre Bembry	21	-0.1	53	0.2	46
Daniel Hamilton	56	0.6	39	0.2	47
Demetrius Jackson	45	0.3	45	0.1	48
Dorian Finney-Smith	UD	0.4	43	0.0	49
Jake Layman	47	0.1	50	0.0	50
Timothe Luwawu	24	-0.4	65	-0.1	51
Yogi Ferrell	UD	0.3	47	-0.1	52
Tim Quarterman	UD	0.2	48	-0.1	53
Joel Bolomboy	52	0.0	51	-0.2	54
Damian Jones	30	-0.4	64	-0.2	55
Isaia Cordinier	44	-0.2	55	-0.2	56
Rade Zagorac	35	-0.4	61	-0.2	57
A.J. Hammons	46	-0.2	56	-0.2	58
Paul Zipser	48	-0.2	57	-0.3	59
Kyle Wiltjer	UD	0.0	52	-0.3	60
Malcolm Brogdon	36	-0.5	66	-0.3	61
Ben Bentil	51	-0.3	58	-0.3	62
Troy Williams	UD	-0.2	54	-0.4	63
Wang Zhelin	57	-0.3	59	-0.4	64
Tyrone Wallace	60	-0.4	60	-0.5	65
Mike Tobey	UD	-0.4	62	-0.5	66
Bryn Forbes	UD	-0.4	63	-0.5	67
Michael Gbinije	49	-0.6	69	-0.6	68
Isaiah Cousins	59	-0.5	67	-0.6	69
Georges Niang	50	-0.8	72	-0.7	70
Sheldon McClellan	UD	-0.7	70	-0.7	71
Patricio Garino	UD	-0.8	71	-0.8	72
Wayne Selden	UD	-0.9	73	-0.9	73
Danuel House	UD	-1.0	74	-1.0	74
Marcus Georges-Hunt	UD	-1.1	75	-1.0	75
David Michineau	39	-1.5	78	-1.0	76
Marshall Plumlee	UD	-1.3	76	-1.1	77
David Nwaba	UD	-1.3	77	-1.1	78
Alex Poythress	UD	-1.6	79	-1.4	79
Abdel Nader	58	-1.8	80	-1.5	80
Isaiah Taylor	UD	-2.0	81	-1.6	81

2015 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Karl-Anthony Towns	1	3.0	3	4.0	1
D'Angelo Russell	2	3.3	1	3.9	2
Kristaps Porzingis	4	3.2	2	3.5	3
Jahlil Okafor	3	2.0	15	2.8	4
Emmanuel Mudiay	7	2.7	7	2.8	5
Frank Kaminsky	9	2.7	5	2.7	6
Myles Turner	11	2.6	8	2.5	7
Mario Hezonja	5	1.7	23	2.3	8
Stanley Johnson	8	2.1	13	2.3	9
Tyus Jones	24	2.8	4	2.2	10
Delon Wright	20	2.6	9	2.2	11
Cameron Payne	14	2.2	11	2.0	12
R.J. Hunter	28	2.7	6	2.0	13
Justise Winslow	10	1.7	25	1.9	14
Sam Dekker	18	2.2	10	1.9	15
Bobby Portis	22	2.1	12	1.8	16
Kelly Oubre	15	1.8	21	1.8	17
Willie Cauley-Stein	6	1.1	31	1.8	18
Cedi Osman	31	2.0	17	1.5	19
Devin Booker	13	1.2	30	1.4	20
Guillermo Hernangomez	35	1.9	19	1.4	21
Kevon Looney	30	1.8	22	1.3	22
Chris McCullough	29	1.6	27	1.2	23
Trey Lyles	12	0.9	39	1.2	24
Richaun Holmes	37	1.7	24	1.2	25
Terry Rozier	16	1.1	33	1.2	26
Arturas Gudaitis	47	1.9	20	1.2	27
Alan Williams	UD	2.1	14	1.2	28
Briante Weber	UD	2.0	16	1.1	29
Christian Wood	UD	1.9	18	1.1	30
Marcus Eriksson	50	1.7	26	1.0	31
Rashad Vaughn	17	0.9	40	1.0	32
Justin Anderson	21	1.0	35	1.0	33
Jerian Grant	19	0.9	41	1.0	34
Daniel Diez	54	1.5	29	0.8	35
Dimitris Agravanis	59	1.5	28	0.8	36
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	23	0.7	43	0.7	37
Pat Connaughton	41	0.9	37	0.6	38
Montrezl Harrell	32	0.7	44	0.6	39
Tyler Harvey	51	1.0	34	0.6	40
Aaron White	49	0.9	38	0.5	41
Cliff Alexander	UD	1.1	32	0.5	42
Larry Nance Jr.	27	0.3	49	0.4	43
Dakari Johnson	48	0.8	42	0.4	44
Luka Mitrovic	60	0.9	36	0.4	45
Darrun Hilliard	38	0.5	46	0.4	46
Nikola Milutinov	26	0.1	51	0.3	47
Jordan Mickey	33	0.1	52	0.1	48
T.J. McConnell	UD	0.6	45	0.1	49
Jarell Martin	25	-0.1	54	0.1	50
Nikola Radicevic	57	0.5	47	0.1	51
Branden Dawson	56	0.4	48	0.0	52
Joseph Young	43	0.0	53	-0.1	53
Aaron Harrison	UD	0.2	50	-0.1	54
Olivier Hanlan	42	-0.2	55	-0.2	55
Marcus Thornton	45	-0.2	56	-0.2	56
Andrew Harrison	44	-0.7	58	-0.6	57
Josh Richardson	40	-0.8	60	-0.6	58
J.P. Tokoto	58	-0.6	57	-0.7	59
Anthony Brown	34	-1.1	64	-0.7	60
Sir'Dominic Pointer	53	-0.8	59	-0.7	61
Norman Powell	46	-1.0	63	-0.8	62
Cady Lalanne	55	-0.9	61	-0.8	63
Duje Dukan	UD	-0.9	62	-0.9	64
Rakeem Christmas	36	-1.3	66	-0.9	65
Bryce DeJean-Jones	UD	-1.3	65	-1.2	66
J.J. O'Brien	UD	-2.5	67	-2.0	67

2014 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Marcus Smart	6	3.6	1	3.5	1
Joel Embiid	3	2.9	7	3.4	2
Jabari Parker	2	2.5	8	3.4	3
Andrew Wiggins	1	1.3	20	2.8	4
Jusuf Nurkic	16	3.3	3	2.8	5
Clint Capela	25	3.4	2	2.6	6
Noah Vonleh	9	2.4	9	2.5	7
Jordan Adams	22	3.0	6	2.4	8
Aaron Gordon	4	1.7	15	2.4	9
Nikola Jokic	41	3.1	5	2.1	10
Julius Randle	7	1.6	16	2.1	11
Doug McDermott	11	1.8	14	1.9	12
Tyler Ennis	18	2.0	11	1.8	13
Gary Harris	19	1.9	12	1.7	14
Nik Stauskas	8	1.2	21	1.7	15
P.J. Hairston	26	2.0	10	1.6	16
Dario Saric	12	1.4	19	1.6	17
Jarnell Stokes	35	1.9	13	1.4	18
Elfrid Payton	10	0.8	32	1.3	19
Zach Lavine	13	0.9	26	1.2	20
Kyle Anderson	30	1.5	17	1.2	21
K.J. McDaniels	32	1.5	18	1.1	22
James Young	17	0.8	31	1.0	23
Shabazz Napier	24	1.1	23	1.0	24
T.J. Warren	14	0.6	33	1.0	25
Damien Inglis	31	1.2	22	0.9	26
Mitch McGary	21	0.8	30	0.9	27
Spencer Dinwiddie	38	1.1	24	0.7	28
Walter Tavares	43	1.0	25	0.6	29
Dante Exum	5	3.3	4	0.6	30
Lamar Patterson	48	0.9	28	0.5	31
Adreian Payne	15	-0.1	47	0.4	32
Langston Galloway	UD	0.9	27	0.4	33
Glenn Robinson III	40	0.6	38	0.4	34
Bryce Cotton	UD	0.9	29	0.3	35
Bogdan Bogdanovic	27	0.2	41	0.3	36
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	51	0.6	37	0.2	37
Vasilije Micic	52	0.6	36	0.2	38
Devyn Marble	56	0.6	34	0.2	39
Eric Moreland	UD	0.6	35	0.1	40
Rodney Hood	23	-0.2	48	0.1	41
Josh Huestis	29	-0.1	46	0.1	42
Sim Bhullar	UD	0.4	39	0.1	43
Cleanthony Early	34	0.0	43	0.1	44
Louis Labeyrie	57	0.3	40	0.0	45
Nick Johnson	42	0.0	45	-0.1	46
Tim Frazier	UD	0.2	42	-0.1	47
Alec Brown	50	0.0	44	-0.2	48
C.J. Wilcox	28	-0.5	59	-0.2	49
Johnny O'Bryant	36	-0.4	53	-0.2	50
Jerami Grant	39	-0.4	55	-0.3	51
Russ Smith	47	-0.3	51	-0.3	52
Joe Harris	33	-0.6	61	-0.3	53
Jerrelle Benimon	UD	-0.2	49	-0.4	54
Andre Dawkins	UD	-0.2	50	-0.4	55
Jordan Clarkson	46	-0.5	58	-0.4	56
Tyler Johnson	UD	-0.3	52	-0.5	57
Markel Brown	44	-0.6	60	-0.5	58
Cory Jefferson	60	-0.4	54	-0.5	59
Alex Kirk	UD	-0.4	56	-0.5	60
Sean Kilpatrick	UD	-0.5	57	-0.6	61
DeAndre Daniels	37	-0.9	65	-0.6	62
David Stockton	UD	-0.8	62	-0.8	63
Jabari Brown	UD	-0.8	63	-0.8	64
Shayne Whittington	UD	-0.8	64	-0.8	65
Alessandro Gentile	53	-0.9	66	-0.8	66
Tarik Black	UD	-1.0	67	-0.9	67
Dwight Powell	45	-1.3	70	-1.0	68
Nemanja Dangubic	54	-1.2	69	-1.0	69
James Michael McAdoo	UD	-1.1	68	-1.0	70
Jordan McRae	58	-1.4	71	-1.2	71
Semaj Christon	55	-1.5	72	-1.3	72
Cameron Bairstow	49	-1.8	75	-1.4	73
JaKarr Sampson	UD	-1.7	73	-1.4	74
Xavier Thames	59	-1.8	74	-1.5	75
Travis Wear	UD	-2.1	76	-1.7	76
David Wear	UD	-2.6	77	-2.0	77

2013 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Nerlens Noel	6	3.6	1	3.5	1
Anthony Bennett	1	2.1	12	3.4	2
Otto Porter	3	2.7	2	3.2	3
Cody Zeller	4	2.5	5	3.0	4
Victor Oladipo	2	1.7	16	2.8	5
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	8	2.6	4	2.6	6
C.J. McCollum	10	2.5	6	2.5	7
Trey Burke	9	2.2	9	2.3	8
Lucas Nogueira	16	2.4	7	2.1	9
Michael Carter-Williams	11	2.0	13	2.1	10
Andre Roberson	26	2.6	3	2.0	11
Steven Adams	12	1.9	15	1.9	12
Sergey Karasev	19	2.0	14	1.8	13
Ben McLemore	7	1.1	34	1.6	14
Nate Wolters	38	2.2	8	1.6	15
Shane Larkin	18	1.6	19	1.5	16
Pierre Jackson	42	2.1	10	1.4	17
Rudy Gobert	27	1.7	17	1.3	18
Kelly Olynyk	13	1.1	33	1.3	19
Alex Len	5	0.3	50	1.3	20
Arsalan Kazemi	54	2.1	11	1.3	21
Glen Rice Jr.	35	1.6	18	1.2	22
Tony Mitchell	37	1.5	23	1.1	23
Alex Abrines	32	1.4	25	1.0	24
Grant Jerrett	40	1.5	22	1.0	25
Mike Muscala	44	1.5	20	1.0	26
Marko Todorovic	45	1.5	21	1.0	27
Reggie Bullock	25	1.0	36	0.9	28
Allen Crabbe	31	1.1	28	0.9	29
Ray McCallum	36	1.1	29	0.8	30
Robert Covington	UD	1.4	24	0.7	31
Tim Hardaway Jr.	24	0.6	43	0.7	32
Jeff Withey	39	1.0	37	0.7	33
Ryan Kelly	48	1.1	32	0.6	34
Phil Pressey	UD	1.2	26	0.6	35
Bojan Dubljevic	59	1.2	27	0.6	36
Isaiah Canaan	34	0.8	39	0.6	37
Troy Daniels	UD	1.1	30	0.5	38
James Southerland	UD	1.1	31	0.5	39
Gorgui Dieng	21	0.2	52	0.5	40
Jamaal Franklin	41	0.7	40	0.5	41
D.J. Stephens	UD	1.0	35	0.5	42
Livio Jean-Charles	28	0.4	49	0.4	43
Matthew Dellavedova	UD	0.9	38	0.4	44
Ian Clark	UD	0.7	41	0.2	45
Solomon Hill	23	0.0	54	0.2	46
Joffrey Lauvergne	55	0.6	42	0.2	47
Tony Snell	20	-0.2	56	0.2	48
Raul Neto	47	0.5	45	0.2	49
Deshaun Thomas	58	0.6	44	0.2	50
James Ennis	50	0.4	46	0.2	51
Erick Green	46	0.4	48	0.2	52
Shabazz Muhammad	14	-0.7	62	0.1	53
Mason Plumlee	22	-0.4	60	0.0	54
Seth Curry	UD	0.4	47	0.0	55
Brandon Davies	UD	0.3	51	0.0	56
Archie Goodwin	29	-0.3	59	-0.1	57
Erik Murphy	49	0.0	53	-0.1	58
Nemanja Nedovic	30	-0.4	61	-0.2	59
Peyton Siva	56	-0.1	55	-0.3	60
Lorenzo Brown	52	-0.3	58	-0.4	61
Adonis Thomas	UD	-0.3	57	-0.4	62
Carrick Felix	33	-1.2	66	-0.8	63
Elias Harris	UD	-1.0	63	-0.9	64
Alex Oriakhi	57	-1.1	64	-1.0	65
Romero Osby	51	-1.2	67	-1.0	66
Vander Blue	UD	-1.1	65	-1.0	67
DeWayne Dedmon	UD	-1.5	68	-1.3	68
Colton Iverson	53	-1.8	69	-1.4	69

2012 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Anthony Davis	1	5.5	1	5.8	1
Bradley Beal	3	2.5	5	3.1	2
Dion Waiters	4	2.2	7	2.7	3
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	2	1.3	19	2.5	4
Damian Lillard	6	2.2	8	2.5	5
Jared Sullinger	21	3.1	2	2.5	6
Andre Drummond	9	1.9	13	2.1	7
Draymond Green	35	2.8	3	2.0	8
Jae Crowder	34	2.7	4	1.9	9
Terrence Jones	18	2.1	9	1.9	10
Thomas Robinson	5	1.1	23	1.9	11
John Jenkins	23	1.9	11	1.6	12
John Henson	14	1.5	16	1.5	13
Jeremy Lamb	12	1.3	21	1.5	14
Royce White	16	1.4	17	1.4	15
Evan Fournier	20	1.6	14	1.4	16
Maurice Harkless	15	1.3	20	1.4	17
Christapher Johnson	UD	2.2	6	1.3	18
Harrison Barnes	7	0.5	34	1.3	19
Terrence Ross	8	0.5	33	1.2	20
Marcus Denmon	59	2.1	10	1.2	21
Tony Wroten	25	1.3	18	1.2	22
Robbie Hummel	58	1.9	12	1.1	23
Kendall Marshall	13	0.8	28	1.1	24
Furkan Aldemir	53	1.5	15	0.9	25
Khris Middleton	39	1.2	22	0.9	26
Jared Cunningham	24	0.8	26	0.8	27
Austin Rivers	10	-0.1	45	0.7	28
Tyler Zeller	17	0.3	38	0.6	29
Meyers Leonard	11	-0.1	47	0.6	30
Kostas Papanikolaou	48	1.0	24	0.6	31
Tomas Satoransky	32	0.7	30	0.6	32
Kyle O'Quinn	49	0.9	25	0.5	33
Will Barton	40	0.7	29	0.5	34
Quincy Miller	38	0.6	31	0.4	35
Arnett Moultrie	27	0.3	37	0.4	36
Quincy Acy	37	0.5	35	0.4	37
Kevin Jones	UD	0.8	27	0.3	38
Andrew Nicholson	19	-0.2	49	0.3	39
Orlando Johnson	36	0.3	39	0.2	40
Perry Jones	28	0.1	43	0.2	41
Scott Machado	UD	0.6	32	0.1	42
Marquis Teague	29	-0.1	44	0.1	43
Tornike Shengelia	54	0.3	36	0.0	44
Fab Melo	22	-0.4	50	0.0	45
Tomislav Zubcic	56	0.2	40	-0.1	46
Doron Lamb	42	-0.1	46	-0.1	47
Kent Bazemore	UD	0.2	41	-0.1	48
Maalik Wayns	UD	0.2	42	-0.1	49
Darius Miller	46	-0.1	48	-0.2	50
Jeff Taylor	31	-0.7	53	-0.4	51
Festus Ezeli	30	-0.7	54	-0.4	52
Tyshawn Taylor	41	-0.5	52	-0.4	53
Kris Joseph	51	-0.4	51	-0.4	54
Darius Johnson-Odom	55	-0.8	55	-0.7	55
Robert Sacre	60	-0.8	56	-0.8	56
Kim English	44	-1.1	57	-0.9	57
Mike Scott	43	-1.2	58	-0.9	58
Henry Sims	UD	-1.2	59	-1.1	59
Bernard James	33	-1.7	61	-1.1	60
Miles Plumlee	26	-1.9	63	-1.1	61
DeQuan Jones	UD	-1.5	60	-1.3	62
Kevin Murphy	47	-1.8	62	-1.3	63

2011 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Kyrie Irving	1	4.2	2	4.9	1
Derrick Williams	2	3.3	3	3.9	2
Kenneth Faried	22	5.1	1	3.8	3
Jonas Valanciunas	5	2.7	6	2.9	4
Tristan Thompson	4	2.2	9	2.8	5
Alec Burks	12	2.7	5	2.5	6
Bismack Biyombo	7	2.2	10	2.5	7
Jimmer Fredette	10	2.4	8	2.4	8
Nikola Mirotic	23	2.9	4	2.3	9
Kawhi Leonard	15	2.5	7	2.3	10
Kemba Walker	9	1.9	12	2.1	11
Brandon Knight	8	1.6	19	2.0	12
Jan Vesely	6	1.0	47	1.7	13
Reggie Jackson	24	2.0	10	1.6	14
JaJuan Johnson	27	1.9	14	1.5	15
Marcus Morris	14	1.3	24	1.5	16
Shelvin Mack	34	2.0	11	1.4	17
Klay Thompson	11	1.0	39	1.4	18
Markieff Morris	13	1.1	35	1.4	19
Jordan Hamilton	26	1.6	18	1.3	20
Chris Singleton	18	1.3	27	1.3	21
Jimmy Butler	30	1.6	20	1.2	22
Tobias Harris	19	1.2	28	1.2	23
Nikola Vucevic	16	1.1	38	1.2	24
Iman Shumpert	17	1.1	36	1.2	25
Trey Thompkins	37	1.7	17	1.2	26
Keith Benson	48	1.9	13	1.2	27
Marshon Brooks	25	1.3	26	1.1	28
Jon Leuer	40	1.6	21	1.1	29
Josh Selby	49	1.7	16	1.1	30
D.J. Kennedy	UD	1.9	15	1.0	31
Justin Harper	32	1.3	25	1.0	32
Cory Joseph	29	1.2	31	1.0	33
Travis Leslie	47	1.6	22	1.0	34
Kyle Singler	33	1.2	30	0.9	35
Milan Macvan	54	1.6	23	0.9	36
Donatas Motiejunas	20	0.8	43	0.9	37
Jordan Williams	36	1.1	33	0.8	38
Tyler Honeycutt	35	1.1	37	0.8	39
Lavoy Allen	50	1.2	32	0.7	40
Jon Diebler	51	1.1	34	0.6	41
Cory Higgins	UD	1.2	29	0.6	42
Josh Harrellson	45	0.9	40	0.6	43
Chandler Parsons	38	0.7	46	0.5	44
Charles Jenkins	44	0.7	44	0.4	45
Greg Smith	UD	0.8	41	0.3	46
Malcolm Thomas	UD	0.8	42	0.3	47
Norris Cole	28	0.2	51	0.3	48
Darius Morris	41	0.4	50	0.2	49
Bojan Bogdanovic	31	0.0	54	0.1	50
E'Twaun Moore	55	0.4	48	0.1	51
Isaiah Thomas	60	0.4	49	0.0	52
Nolan Smith	21	-0.5	57	0.0	53
Andrew Goudelock	46	0.1	53	-0.1	54
Julyan Stone	UD	0.1	52	-0.2	55
Malcolm Lee	43	-0.2	56	-0.2	56
Chris Wright	UD	-0.2	55	-0.4	57
Xavier Silas	UD	-1.1	58	-1.0	58
DeAndre Liggins	53	-1.6	59	-1.3	59
Vernon Macklin	52	-1.9	60	-1.5	60
Mychel Thompson	UD	-2.0	61	-1.6	61

2010 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
DeMarcus Cousins	5	4.1	1	3.9	1
John Wall	1	2.4	10	3.6	2
Greg Monroe	7	3.3	2	3.2	3
Derrick Favors	3	2.6	7	3.2	4
Gordon Hayward	9	3.3	3	3.1	5
Cole Aldrich	11	3.1	4	2.8	6
Xavier Henry	12	2.7	6	2.5	7
Paul George	10	2.4	9	2.4	8
Evan Turner	2	1.1	28	2.4	9
Patrick Patterson	14	2.4	8	2.2	10
Hassan Whiteside	33	2.8	5	2.0	11
Al-Farouq Aminu	8	1.7	18	2.0	12
Wesley Johnson	4	1.1	33	1.9	13
James Anderson	20	2.1	12	1.8	14
Ed Davis	13	1.5	23	1.6	15
Trevor Booker	23	1.8	16	1.5	16
Daniel Orton	29	2.0	14	1.5	17
Jarvis Varnado	41	2.2	11	1.5	18
Dexter Pittman	32	1.9	15	1.4	19
Ekpe Udoh	6	0.6	42	1.4	20
Dominique Jones	25	1.6	20	1.3	21
Tibor Pleiss	31	1.8	17	1.3	22
Larry Sanders	15	1.1	31	1.3	23
Manny Harris	UD	2.0	13	1.1	24
Tiny Gallon	47	1.6	19	1.0	25
Damion James	24	1.1	32	1.0	26
Jerome Jordan	44	1.5	22	1.0	27
Eric Bledsoe	18	0.8	37	0.9	28
Luke Harangody	52	1.6	21	0.9	29
Luke Babbitt	16	0.6	40	0.9	30
Landry Fields	39	1.3	25	0.9	31
Devin Ebanks	43	1.2	27	0.8	32
Jeremy Lin	UD	1.3	24	0.7	33
Willie Warren	54	1.2	26	0.6	34
Avery Bradley	19	0.3	48	0.6	35
Lance Stephenson	40	0.9	36	0.6	36
Paulao Prestes	45	0.9	35	0.6	37
Jordan Crawford	27	0.5	43	0.5	38
Dwayne Collins	60	1.1	29	0.5	39
Solomon Alabi	50	1.0	34	0.5	40
Ben Uzoh	UD	1.1	30	0.5	41
Andy Rautins	38	0.7	39	0.5	42
Greivis Vasquez	28	0.4	46	0.5	43
Kevin Seraphin	17	0.0	53	0.5	44
Terrico White	36	0.6	41	0.4	45
Elliot Williams	22	0.1	50	0.4	46
Gani Lawal	46	0.7	38	0.4	47
Lazar Hayward	30	0.0	52	0.1	48
Jeremy Evans	55	0.5	44	0.1	49
Darington Hobson	36	0.1	51	0.1	50
Derrick Caracter	58	0.5	45	0.1	51
Da'Sean Butler	42	0.2	49	0.1	52
Nemanja Bjelica	35	0.0	54	0.0	53
Samardo Samuels	UD	0.4	47	0.0	54
Armon Johnson	34	-0.1	55	0.0	55
Quincy Pondexter	26	-0.4	57	-0.1	56
Craig Brackins	21	-0.8	60	-0.2	57
Stanley Robinson	59	-0.1	56	-0.3	58
Sherron Collins	UD	-0.5	58	-0.6	59
Hamady Ndiaye	56	-0.7	59	-0.7	60
Magnum Rolle	51	-1.0	61	-0.8	61
Ishmael Smith	UD	-1.5	62	-1.3	62
Ryan Reid	57	-2.5	63	-1.9	63

2009 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Blake Griffin	1	4.2	3	4.9	1
James Harden	3	4.2	2	4.3	2
Ricky Rubio	5	3.7	5	3.7	3
Stephen Curry	7	3.9	4	3.6	4
DeJuan Blair	37	5.0	1	3.5	5
Hasheem Thabeet	2	2.0	12	3.0	6
Tyreke Evans	4	2.2	11	2.7	7
Ty Lawson	18	2.8	7	2.4	8
Jrue Holiday	17	2.8	8	2.3	9
Brandon Jennings	10	2.3	14	2.3	10
Jonny Flynn	6	1.5	15	2.1	11
Nick Calathes	45	3.1	6	2.0	12
Jordan Hill	8	1.3	19	1.8	13
Tyler Hansbrough	13	1.5	16	1.6	14
Sergio Llull	34	2.2	10	1.6	15
Daniel Green	46	2.3	9	1.5	16
Byron Mullens	24	1.8	13	1.5	17
James Johnson	16	1.1	25	1.2	18
Terrence Williams	11	0.8	31	1.2	19
Earl Clark	14	0.9	28	1.2	20
Darren Collison	21	1.1	24	1.1	21
Eric Maynor	20	1.0	26	1.1	22
Jeff Ayres	31	1.3	20	1.0	23
Chase Budinger	44	1.5	17	0.9	24
Gerald Henderson Jr.	12	0.3	42	0.8	25
DeMar DeRozan	9	0.1	49	0.8	26
Jeff Teague	19	0.7	35	0.8	27
Marcus Thornton	43	1.3	21	0.8	28
DeMarre Carroll	27	0.9	29	0.8	29
Lester Hudson	58	1.4	18	0.8	30
Patrick Beverley	42	1.2	23	0.8	31
Omri Casspi	23	0.7	45	0.7	32
Austin Daye	15	0.3	43	0.7	33
Victor Claver	22	0.5	38	0.7	34
Patrick Mills	55	1.2	22	0.6	35
Henk Norel	47	1.0	27	0.6	36
Jermaine Taylor	32	0.7	33	0.6	37
Wayne Ellington	28	0.6	37	0.6	38
Jodie Meeks	41	0.8	30	0.5	39
Derrick Brown	40	0.8	32	0.5	40
DaJuan Summers	35	0.7	34	0.5	41
Jon Brockman	38	0.5	40	0.3	42
Ahmad Nivins	56	0.7	36	0.2	43
Goran Suton	50	0.5	39	0.2	44
Toney Douglas	29	0.1	47	0.2	45
Taj Gibson	26	-0.1	51	0.1	46
Chinemelu Elonu	59	0.5	41	0.1	47
Dante Cunningham	33	0.0	50	0.1	48
A.J. Price	52	0.2	44	0.0	49
Emir Preldzic	57	0.1	48	-0.1	50
Robert Dozier	60	0.1	46	-0.2	51
Sam Young	36	-0.5	53	-0.3	52
Wesley Matthews	UD	-0.4	52	-0.5	53
Taylor Griffin	48	-1.0	54	-0.8	54
Robert Vaden	54	-1.4	55	-1.2	55
Jack McClinton	51	-1.5	56	-1.2	56

2008 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Kevin Love	5	4.6	1	4.3	1
Michael Beasley	2	3.7	2	4.2	2
Derrick Rose	1	1.7	10	3.1	3
Danilo Gallinari	6	2.9	4	3.0	4
Ryan Anderson	21	2.6	3	2.1	5
Brook Lopez	10	1.9	8	2.1	6
Russell Westbrook	4	1.1	21	2.0	7
Eric Gordon	7	1.4	17	1.9	8
Roy Hibbert	17	2.1	6	1.9	9
J.J. Hickson	19	2.0	7	1.8	10
Jason Thompson	12	1.6	13	1.7	11
Jerryd Bayless	11	1.5	16	1.7	12
O.J. Mayo	3	0.4	29	1.7	13
Anthony Randolph	14	1.6	12	1.6	14
Robin Lopez	15	1.6	11	1.6	15
Mario Chalmers	34	2.2	5	1.6	16
Marreese Speights	16	1.5	14	1.5	17
Kosta Koufos	23	1.8	9	1.5	18
D.J. Augustin	9	0.9	23	1.4	19
JaVale McGee	18	1.3	18	1.3	20
George Hill	26	1.5	15	1.3	21
Nicolas Batum	25	1.2	26	1.1	22
Donte Greene	28	1.2	19	1.0	23
D.J. White	29	1.1	20	0.9	24
Darrell Arthur	27	0.9	24	0.8	25
DeAndre Jordan	35	1.0	22	0.8	26
Joe Alexander	8	-0.1	39	0.8	27
Nikola Pekovic	31	0.8	25	0.6	28
Courtney Lee	22	0.2	32	0.4	29
Brandon Rush	13	-0.3	41	0.4	30
Kyle Weaver	38	0.4	30	0.3	31
Bill Walker	47	0.5	28	0.3	32
Darnell Jackson	52	0.6	27	0.2	33
Chris Douglas-Roberts	40	0.2	31	0.1	34
J.R. Giddens	30	-0.1	36	0.1	35
Sean Singletary	42	0.1	34	0.0	36
Malik Hairston	48	0.2	33	0.0	37
Joey Dorsey	33	-0.4	42	-0.2	38
Anthony Morrow	UD	0.0	35	-0.3	39
Othello Hunter	UD	-0.1	37	-0.3	40
Rob Kurz	UD	-0.1	38	-0.3	41
DeMarcus Nelson	UD	-0.2	40	-0.4	42
Sonny Weems	39	-0.7	43	-0.5	43
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute	37	-0.8	44	-0.5	44
Joe Crawford	58	-1.2	45	-1.0	45

2007 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Greg Oden	1	3.6	2	4.5	1
Kevin Durant	2	3.7	1	4.1	2
Mike Conley	4	2.7	4	3.1	3
Al Horford	3	2.2	6	2.9	4
Brandan Wright	8	2.1	7	2.3	5
Rudy Fernandez	24	2.9	3	2.2	6
Joakim Noah	9	2.0	9	2.2	7
Jeff Green	5	1.6	14	2.2	8
Sean Williams	17	2.4	5	2.1	9
Thaddeus Young	12	2.0	10	2.0	10
Rodney Stuckey	15	2.1	8	2.0	11
Corey Brewer	7	1.0	22	1.6	12
Spencer Hawes	10	1.2	18	1.6	13
Javaris Crittenton	19	1.7	13	1.5	14
Nick Fazekas	34	2.0	11	1.4	15
Julian Wright	13	1.2	19	1.4	16
Jason Smith	20	1.5	16	1.4	17
Josh McRoberts	37	1.7	12	1.2	18
Marco Belinelli	18	1.0	20	1.1	19
Glen Davis	35	1.5	15	1.1	20
Tiago Splitter	28	1.2	17	1.0	21
Jared Dudley	22	1.0	21	1.0	22
Al Thornton	14	0.4	26	0.8	23
Carl Landry	31	0.9	24	0.7	24
Daequan Cook	21	0.3	27	0.5	25
Aaron Gray	49	1.0	23	0.5	26
Stephane Lasme	46	0.7	25	0.4	27
Wilson Chandler	23	0.1	29	0.4	28
Marcus Williams	33	0.3	28	0.3	29
Aaron Brooks	26	-0.1	32	0.2	30
Acie Law	11	-0.8	39	0.1	31
Dominic McGuire	47	0.0	30	-0.1	32
Arron Afflalo	27	-0.5	38	-0.1	33
Jermareo Davidson	36	-0.3	35	-0.2	34
Ramon Sessions	56	-0.1	31	-0.2	35
D.J. Strawberry	59	-0.1	33	-0.3	36
Demetris Nichols	53	-0.2	34	-0.3	37
Mario West	UD	-0.3	36	-0.5	38
Joel Anthony	UD	-0.4	37	-0.5	39
Nick Young	16	-1.4	41	-0.5	40
Chris Richard	41	-1.2	40	-0.9	41

2006 draft projections

Player	Pick	WARP	Rk	Humble	Rk
Andrea Bargnani	1	2.8	5	3.9	1
Tyrus Thomas	4	3.6	1	3.7	2
Shelden Williams	5	2.7	3	3.0	3
LaMarcus Aldridge	2	1.8	11	2.9	4
Patrick O'Bryant	9	2.7	4	2.6	5
Rudy Gay	8	1.9	8	2.2	6
Paul Millsap	47	3.2	2	2.1	7
Adam Morrison	3	0.8	28	1.9	8
Brandon Roy	6	1.3	20	1.9	9
Ronnie Brewer	14	1.9	10	1.8	10
Cedric Simmons	15	1.7	13	1.7	11
Renaldo Balkman	20	1.9	7	1.7	12
Rajon Rondo	21	2.0	6	1.7	13
Shawne Williams	17	1.8	12	1.7	14
Thabo Sefolosha	13	1.3	19	1.5	15
Quincy Douby	19	1.6	15	1.5	16
J.J. Redick	11	1.1	22	1.4	17
Randy Foye	7	0.7	29	1.4	18
Jordan Farmar	26	1.7	14	1.4	19
Mardy Collins	29	1.6	16	1.2	20
Paul Davis	34	1.5	17	1.1	21
Marcus Williams	22	1.1	21	1.1	22
Justin Williams	UD	1.9	9	1.1	23
Hilton Armstrong	12	0.5	33	1.0	24
Daniel Gibson	42	1.5	18	1.0	25
Rodney Carney	16	0.7	30	0.9	26
Sergio Rodriguez	27	0.9	25	0.8	27
Craig Smith	36	0.9	27	0.7	28
Dee D. Brown	46	1.0	23	0.6	29
Josh Boone	23	0.4	34	0.6	30
Leon Powe	49	1.0	24	0.5	31
Chris Quinn	UD	0.9	26	0.4	32
Solomon Jones	33	0.4	35	0.3	33
Alexander Johnson	45	0.6	32	0.3	34
Tarence Kinsey	UD	0.6	31	0.2	35
Bobby Jones	37	0.1	38	0.1	36
Hassan Adams	54	0.4	36	0.1	37
Allan Ray	UD	0.2	37	-0.1	38
David Noel	39	-0.2	39	-0.1	39

Explaining kevin pelton nba draft projection system

2025-06-20 09:31:35